Skilled labor shortage in Germany

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How many skilled workers will Germany need in the next 10 years?

Germany faces a major challenge: The demand for qualified specialists will increase significantly over the next ten years. According to current forecasts by the Federal Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs (BMAS) and the Federal Employment Agency (BA), Germany will experience a significant shortage of skilled workers by 2035. [1] [2].

Current situation and forecasts

The medium-term forecast of the Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs shows that a gap will emerge between the supply and demand for skilled workers by 2028 [1]This gap is influenced by various factors, including digitalization, demographic change and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic [1]The long-term forecast of the Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs even assumes that the demand for qualified workers will continue to rise until 2040 [3].

Industries with the highest demand

Sectors such as healthcare, IT, and skilled trades are particularly affected. A significant demand for nursing and medical professionals is expected in the healthcare sector. [2]The IT industry needs experts in software development, cybersecurity and data analysis [2]A shortage of qualified skilled workers is also forecast in the skilled trades, particularly in the construction and electrical engineering sectors [2].

Statistics on the shortage of skilled workers

  • 2025: According to a study by ManpowerGroup, 86% of German companies are fighting for talent [3].
  • 2028: The medium-term forecast of the Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs shows that a significant gap will arise between supply and demand for skilled workers by 2028 [2].
  • 2035: Forecasts by the Federal Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs and the Federal Employment Agency assume that Germany will experience a significant shortage of skilled workers by 2035 [1].

Measures to secure skilled workers

To counteract the shortage of skilled workers, various measures are necessary. These include promoting professional development, integrating foreign skilled workers, and improving working conditions. [1]The Federal Government has already launched various initiatives to support the securing of skilled workers, including the Skilled Immigration Act and vocational qualification programs [1].

Conclusion

The shortage of skilled workers in Germany is a serious challenge that must be addressed in the coming years. However, through targeted measures and forward-looking planning, Germany can attract the necessary skilled workers and secure its competitiveness.

References

[1] Labor and skilled labor shortages: current situation and projections in …

[2] Facts and figures on skilled labor development – BMAS

[3] MPG Study: Skilled Worker Shortage 2025 – manpowergroup.de